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Polling Trends
3 4 12 8 54 6 11 6 4 4 3 10 5 40 7 6 4 3 3 10 10 19 6 10 6 8 6 9 16 30 9 16 11 8 11 15 17 4 13 19 28 3 1 1 NH 4 VT 3 MA 11 RI 4 CT 7 NJ 14 DE 3 MD 10 DC 3
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
No Race
Senate
R 53 - D 47
House
R 220 - D 215
Election Day
203 days

Races to Watch Updated 8 hours ago

Maine Senate
R Susan Collins
Toss-up
Michigan Senate
D Gary Peters
Toss-up
AZ-01
R David Schweikert
Toss-up
AZ-06
R Juan Ciscomani
Toss-up
CA-13
D Adam Gray
Toss-up
CA-22
R David Valadao
Toss-up
CA-27
D George Whitesides
Toss-up
CA-45
D Derek Tran
Toss-up

Today's Sourcing

April 13, 2026
Top fundraiser: T. Ossoff $43.2M
3 news stories
See full daily briefing →

Latest Political News Updated 8 hours ago

Endorsement

CPC PAC endorses Chris Rabb in Pennsylvania House primary

PA House
The Hill 12 hours ago
General

Rich Men North of Richmond Stealing Votes of Virginians

VA House
RealClearPolitics 13 hours ago
General

Jeffries: Dems Will Finish Gerrymander Fight GOP Started

VA House
RealClearPolitics 13 hours ago
Campaign

Swalwell suspends campaign for California governor

CA House
The Hill 1 days ago
Campaign

Eric Swalwell's Bid for California Governor Is Over

CA Governor
RealClearPolitics 1 days ago
General

Lawmakers set to return to Washington as TSA paycheck uncertainty looms over partial shutdown negotiations

WA Senate
The Hill 1 days ago

State-by-State Overview

State EV 2024 Result Senate Race
AL Alabama 9 Safe R OPEN (Tommy Tuberville) Safe R
AK Alaska 3 Likely R Dan Sullivan Safe R
AZ Arizona 11 Lean R --
AR Arkansas 6 Safe R Tom Cotton Safe R
CA California 54 Safe D --
CO Colorado 10 Likely D Michael Bennet Safe D
CT Connecticut 7 Likely D --
DE Delaware 3 Likely D Chris Coons Safe D
DC District of Columbia 3 Safe D --
FL Florida 30 Likely R OPEN (TBD) Likely R
GA Georgia 16 Tilt R Jon Ossoff Lean D
HI Hawaii 4 Safe D --
ID Idaho 4 Safe R Jim Risch Safe R
IL Illinois 19 Likely D OPEN (Dick Durbin) Safe D
IN Indiana 11 Safe R --
IA Iowa 6 Likely R OPEN (Joni Ernst) Safe R
KS Kansas 6 Safe R Jerry Moran Safe R
KY Kentucky 8 Safe R OPEN (Mitch McConnell) Safe R
LA Louisiana 8 Safe R Bill Cassidy Safe R
ME Maine 4 Lean D Susan Collins Toss-up
MD Maryland 10 Safe D --
MA Massachusetts 11 Safe D Ed Markey Safe D
MI Michigan 15 Tilt R OPEN (Gary Peters) Toss-up
MN Minnesota 10 Tilt D OPEN (Tina Smith) Lean D
MS Mississippi 6 Safe R Cindy Hyde-Smith Safe R
MO Missouri 10 Safe R --
MT Montana 4 Safe R Steve Daines Safe R
NE Nebraska 5 Safe R Pete Ricketts Lean R
NV Nevada 6 Tilt R --
NH New Hampshire 4 Tilt D OPEN (Jeanne Shaheen) Lean D
NJ New Jersey 14 Lean D Cory Booker Safe D
NM New Mexico 5 Lean D Martin Heinrich Safe D
NY New York 28 Likely D --
NC North Carolina 16 Tilt R OPEN (Thom Tillis) Lean R
ND North Dakota 3 Safe R --
OH Ohio 17 Likely R Jon Husted Lean R
OK Oklahoma 7 Safe R James Lankford Safe R
OR Oregon 8 Likely D Jeff Merkley Safe D
PA Pennsylvania 19 Tilt R --
RI Rhode Island 4 Likely D Jack Reed Safe D
SC South Carolina 9 Safe R Lindsey Graham Safe R
SD South Dakota 3 Safe R Mike Rounds Safe R
TN Tennessee 11 Safe R Marsha Blackburn Safe R
TX Texas 40 Likely R John Cornyn Safe R
UT Utah 6 Safe R --
VT Vermont 3 Safe D --
VA Virginia 13 Lean D Mark Warner Safe D
WA Washington 12 Safe D --
WV West Virginia 4 Safe R Shelley Moore Capito Safe R
WI Wisconsin 10 Tilt R --
WY Wyoming 3 Safe R OPEN (Cynthia Lummis) Safe R

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Methodology

Race ratings are based on polling data, historical voting patterns, candidate quality, and expert analysis from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections.

Learn more about our methodology →

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