PollingSource

The number one source for political election data
Polling Trends
46 Senate Seats 52
2
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
No Race
Senate
R 53 - D 47
House
R 220 - D 215
Election Day
140 days

Races to Watch Updated 18 hours ago

Maine Senate
R Susan Collins
Toss-up
Michigan Senate
D Gary Peters
Toss-up
AZ-01
R David Schweikert
Toss-up
AZ-06
R Juan Ciscomani
Toss-up
CA-13
D Adam Gray
Toss-up
CA-22
R David Valadao
Toss-up
CA-27
D George Whitesides
Toss-up
CA-45
D Derek Tran
Toss-up

Today's Sourcing

June 15, 2026
Top fundraiser: T. Ossoff $60.4M
See full daily briefing →

Latest Political News Updated 18 hours ago

Endorsement

Trump creates tricky terrain for Hilton in California governor’s race

CA Governor
The Hill 1 days ago
General

WH South Lawn Adds UFC Arena to Its Colorful History

WA House
RealClearPolitics 1 days ago
General

Fetterman scoffs at Platner: ‘He’s not even a Democrat’

ME Senate
The Hill 1 days ago
General

Post-Platner Democrats must ask: ‘Are we the baddies?’

ME Senate
The Hill 1 days ago
Campaign

Candidates running in the Republican primary for Arizona's 5th Congressional District show differing advantages in fundraising and endorsements

AZ House
Ballotpedia News 2 days ago
Polling

Seven Democrats seek Wisconsin governor nomination as Evers retires

WI Governor
Ballotpedia News 2 days ago

State-by-State Overview

State EV 2024 Result Senate Race
AL Alabama 9 Safe R OPEN (Tommy Tuberville) Safe R
AK Alaska 3 Likely R Dan Sullivan Safe R
AZ Arizona 11 Lean R --
AR Arkansas 6 Safe R Tom Cotton Safe R
CA California 54 Safe D --
CO Colorado 10 Likely D Michael Bennet Safe D
CT Connecticut 7 Likely D --
DE Delaware 3 Likely D Chris Coons Safe D
DC District of Columbia 3 Safe D --
FL Florida 30 Likely R OPEN (TBD) Likely R
GA Georgia 16 Tilt R Jon Ossoff Lean D
HI Hawaii 4 Safe D --
ID Idaho 4 Safe R Jim Risch Safe R
IL Illinois 19 Likely D OPEN (Dick Durbin) Safe D
IN Indiana 11 Safe R --
IA Iowa 6 Likely R OPEN (Joni Ernst) Safe R
KS Kansas 6 Safe R Jerry Moran Safe R
KY Kentucky 8 Safe R OPEN (Mitch McConnell) Safe R
LA Louisiana 8 Safe R Bill Cassidy Safe R
ME Maine 4 Lean D Susan Collins Toss-up
MD Maryland 10 Safe D --
MA Massachusetts 11 Safe D Ed Markey Safe D
MI Michigan 15 Tilt R OPEN (Gary Peters) Toss-up
MN Minnesota 10 Tilt D OPEN (Tina Smith) Lean D
MS Mississippi 6 Safe R Cindy Hyde-Smith Safe R
MO Missouri 10 Safe R --
MT Montana 4 Safe R Steve Daines Safe R
NE Nebraska 5 Safe R Pete Ricketts Lean R
NV Nevada 6 Tilt R --
NH New Hampshire 4 Tilt D OPEN (Jeanne Shaheen) Lean D
NJ New Jersey 14 Lean D Cory Booker Safe D
NM New Mexico 5 Lean D Martin Heinrich Safe D
NY New York 28 Likely D --
NC North Carolina 16 Tilt R OPEN (Thom Tillis) Lean R
ND North Dakota 3 Safe R --
OH Ohio 17 Likely R Jon Husted Lean R
OK Oklahoma 7 Safe R James Lankford Safe R
OR Oregon 8 Likely D Jeff Merkley Safe D
PA Pennsylvania 19 Tilt R --
RI Rhode Island 4 Likely D Jack Reed Safe D
SC South Carolina 9 Safe R Lindsey Graham Safe R
SD South Dakota 3 Safe R Mike Rounds Safe R
TN Tennessee 11 Safe R Marsha Blackburn Safe R
TX Texas 40 Likely R John Cornyn Safe R
UT Utah 6 Safe R --
VT Vermont 3 Safe D --
VA Virginia 13 Lean D Mark Warner Safe D
WA Washington 12 Safe D --
WV West Virginia 4 Safe R Shelley Moore Capito Safe R
WI Wisconsin 10 Tilt R --
WY Wyoming 3 Safe R OPEN (Cynthia Lummis) Safe R

Help Us Keep Polling Data Free

PollingSource provides free, non-partisan election polling data. Your donation helps us maintain and improve this resource.

Secure via PayPal

Methodology

Race ratings are based on polling data, historical voting patterns, candidate quality, and expert analysis from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections.

Learn more about our methodology →

Support Independent Election Data PollingSource is free and non-partisan. Your donation helps us continue providing accurate election data.