Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff ✓ | 1,040,355 | 100.0% |
Republican Runoff
Held June 16, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Collins ✓ | 390,005 | 55.5% | |
| Derek Dooley | 312,227 | 44.5% |
Full calendar and every race: Georgia primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Jon Ossoff Nominee Incumbent
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote In average | 2026-10-20 this poll | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Jon Ossoff 54.00% | Mike Collins 46.00% |
| Quantus Insights (R) R-sponsored In average | 2026-10-17 this poll | 755 LV | ±3.80 | Jon Ossoff 52.00% | Mike Collins 45.00% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs In average | 2026-10-15 this poll | 1000 LV | ±3.10 | Jon Ossoff 48.00% | Mike Collins 40.00% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) R-sponsored missed 2024 by 1.8 pts Not in average | 2026-10-09 this poll | 1101 LV | ±2.90 | Jon Ossoff 51.00% | Mike Collins 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Georgia Senate race?
Jon Ossoff leads Mike Collins 51.3% to 43.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+7.6 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Georgia Senate race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Georgia Senate race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from ActiVote (completed October 20, 2026), found Jon Ossoff (D) at 54% and Mike Collins (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 Georgia Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Won 2021 runoff; first term defense
Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago
Top Spenders
- THE GEORGIA WAY Dem-aligned $7,050,871
- LOWER COSTS NOW Dem-aligned $2,784,928
- NEW ENGAGEMENT PAC Dem-aligned $1,969,339
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $961,235
- GEORGIA VALUES Dem-aligned $912,402
- WIN IT BACK PAC Dem-aligned $488,718
- J STREET ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $470,000
- FELLOWSHIP PAC GOP-aligned $350,000
- DELIVERING FOR AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $300,000
- PROJECT BULLHORN PAC Dem-aligned $127,500
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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