PollingSource

The number one source for political election data
Polling Trends

2026 Senate Elections

35 seats up for election (33 Class II + 2 special elections)

3 4 12 8 54 6 11 6 4 4 3 10 5 40 7 6 4 3 3 10 10 19 6 10 6 8 6 9 16 30 9 16 11 8 11 15 17 4 13 19 28 3 1 1 NH 4 VT 3 MA 11 RI 4 CT 7 NJ 14 DE 3 MD 10 DC 3
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
No Race

Current Senate: 47D - 53R

47
53
Democrats 50 for majority (VP tiebreak) Republicans

2026 Senate Races by Competitiveness

Toss-up (2)

ME Maine
R Susan Collins
Toss-up
MI Michigan
D OPEN (Gary Peters)
Toss-up

Lean Democrat (3)

GA Georgia
D Jon Ossoff
Lean D
MN Minnesota
D OPEN (Tina Smith)
Lean D
NH New Hampshire
D OPEN (Jeanne Shaheen)
Lean D

Lean/Likely Republican (4)

NC North Carolina
R OPEN (Thom Tillis)
Lean R
NE Nebraska
R Pete Ricketts
Lean R
OH Ohio Special
R Jon Husted
Lean R
FL Florida Special
R OPEN (TBD)
Likely R

Safe Democrat (9)

CO Colorado Michael Bennet DE Delaware Chris Coons IL Illinois OPEN (Dick Durbin) MA Massachusetts Ed Markey NJ New Jersey Cory Booker NM New Mexico Martin Heinrich OR Oregon Jeff Merkley RI Rhode Island Jack Reed VA Virginia Mark Warner

Safe Republican (17)

AK Alaska Dan Sullivan AL Alabama OPEN (Tommy Tuberville) AR Arkansas Tom Cotton IA Iowa OPEN (Joni Ernst) ID Idaho Jim Risch KS Kansas Jerry Moran KY Kentucky OPEN (Mitch McConnell) LA Louisiana Bill Cassidy MS Mississippi Cindy Hyde-Smith MT Montana Steve Daines OK Oklahoma James Lankford SC South Carolina Lindsey Graham SD South Dakota Mike Rounds TN Tennessee Marsha Blackburn TX Texas John Cornyn WV West Virginia Shelley Moore Capito WY Wyoming OPEN (Cynthia Lummis)

Key Retirements in 2026

Democrats (4)

  • Dick Durbin (IL)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (NH)
  • Tina Smith (MN)
  • Gary Peters (MI)

Republicans (5)

  • Mitch McConnell (KY)
  • Thom Tillis (NC)
  • Joni Ernst (IA)
  • Cynthia Lummis (WY)
  • Tommy Tuberville (AL) - running for Gov

About Senate Ratings

Race ratings are based on polling data, historical voting patterns, candidate quality, and expert analysis from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Ratings will be updated as new polling data becomes available.

Learn more about our methodology

Support Independent Election Data PollingSource is free and non-partisan. Your donation helps us continue providing accurate election data.