Arizona

11 Electoral Votes Senate Race: 2024

Current Polling Average

Kamala Harris 46.7%
Donald Trump 52.2%
Rating: Lean R
Margin: D+5.5
Final 2024 Election Results

All Polls from 2024 (67)

Pollster Date Sample Kamala Harris Donald Trump Margin
Atlas Intel
LV
Nov 4
Nov 3 - Nov 4
875
±3.0%
47.0% 52.0% R+5.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Nov 4
Nov 3 - Nov 4
875
±3.0%
47.0% 52.0% R+5.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Nov 3
Oct 22 - Nov 3
603
±4.4%
43.0% 48.0% R+5.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
LV
Nov 3
Nov 1 - Nov 3
1,090
±2.9%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
LV
Nov 3
Nov 1 - Nov 3
1,090
±2.9%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
The Hill/Emerson
LV
Nov 2
Oct 29 - Nov 2
900
±3.2%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
InsiderAdvantage
LV
Nov 2
Nov 1 - Nov 2
800
±3.0%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
InsiderAdvantage
LV
Nov 2
Nov 1 - Nov 2
800
±3.0%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
The Hill/Emerson
LV
Nov 2
Oct 29 - Nov 2
900
±3.2%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Nov 2
Nov 1 - Nov 2
967
±3.0%
46.0% 52.0% R+6.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Nov 2
Oct 25 - Nov 2
1,025 45.0% 49.0% R+4.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Nov 2
Oct 25 - Nov 2
1,025 45.0% 49.0% R+4.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Oct 31
Oct 30 - Oct 31
1,005
±3.0%
47.0% 51.0% R+4.0
Data for Progress (D)**
LV
Oct 30
Oct 25 - Oct 30
1,079
±3.0%
47.0% 48.0% R+1.0
Noble Predictive Insights
LV
Oct 30
Oct 28 - Oct 30
775
±3.5%
47.0% 48.0% R+1.0
Data for Progress (D)**
LV
Oct 30
Oct 25 - Oct 30
1,079
±3.0%
47.0% 48.0% R+1.0
Noble Predictive Insights
LV
Oct 30
Oct 28 - Oct 30
775
±3.5%
47.0% 48.0% R+1.0
Morning Consult
Oct 29
Oct 20 - Oct 29
0 48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Oct 29
Oct 25 - Oct 29
803
±3.0%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Oct 29
Oct 25 - Oct 29
1,458
±3.0%
47.0% 51.0% R+4.0
Morning Consult
Oct 29
Oct 20 - Oct 29
0 48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Oct 29
Oct 25 - Oct 29
803
±3.0%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
Data Orbital
LV
Oct 28
Oct 26 - Oct 28
550
±4.3%
42.0% 50.0% R+8.0
Data Orbital
LV
Oct 28
Oct 26 - Oct 28
550
±4.3%
42.0% 50.0% R+8.0
CNN*
LV
Oct 26
Oct 21 - Oct 26
781
±4.4%
48.0% 47.0% D+1.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
LV
Oct 26
Oct 24 - Oct 26
1,094
±2.9%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
Marist
LV
Oct 22
Oct 17 - Oct 22
1,193
±3.7%
49.0% 50.0% R+1.0
InsiderAdvantage
LV
Oct 21
Oct 20 - Oct 21
800
±3.0%
47.0% 50.0% R+3.0
Bloomberg
LV
Oct 20
Oct 16 - Oct 20
915
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Oct 17
Oct 12 - Oct 17
1,440
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
CBS News
LV
Oct 16
Oct 11 - Oct 16
1,435
±3.3%
48.0% 51.0% R+3.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
LV
Oct 13
Oct 10 - Oct 13
1,090
±2.9%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Oct 10
Oct 7 - Oct 10
808
±4.0%
46.0% 51.0% R+5.0
The Hill/Emerson
LV
Oct 8
Oct 5 - Oct 8
1,000
±3.0%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
Wall Street Journal
RV
Oct 8
Sep 28 - Oct 8
600
±4.0%
48.0% 46.0% D+2.0
Fabrizio/Anzalone
LV
Oct 1
Sep 24 - Oct 1
600
±4.0%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
InsiderAdvantage
LV
Sep 30
Sep 29 - Sep 30
800
±3.0%
48.0% 49.0% R+1.0
GSG/NSOR
LV
Sep 29
Sep 23 - Sep 29
400
±4.9%
48.0% 47.0% D+1.0
KPHO-TV/HighGround
LV
Sep 29
Sep 26 - Sep 29
500
±4.4%
48.0% 46.0% D+2.0
Emerson
LV
Sep 28
Sep 27 - Sep 28
920
±3.2%
47.0% 50.0% R+3.0
Cook Political Report
LV
Sep 25
Sep 19 - Sep 25
409 50.0% 48.0% D+2.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Sep 25
Sep 20 - Sep 25
946
±3.0%
49.0% 50.0% R+1.0
Bloomberg
LV
Sep 25
Sep 19 - Sep 25
926
±3.0%
50.0% 47.0% D+3.0
Marist
LV
Sep 24
Sep 19 - Sep 24
1,264
±3.8%
49.0% 50.0% R+1.0
FOX News
LV
Sep 24
Sep 20 - Sep 24
764
±3.5%
48.0% 51.0% R+3.0
USA Today/Suffolk
LV
Sep 24
Sep 21 - Sep 24
500
±4.4%
42.0% 48.0% R+6.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Sep 22
Sep 19 - Sep 22
1,071
±3.0%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Sep 21
Sep 17 - Sep 21
713
±4.4%
45.0% 50.0% R+5.0
The Hill/Emerson
LV
Sep 18
Sep 15 - Sep 18
868
±3.3%
48.0% 49.0% R+1.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
LV
Sep 12
Sep 11 - Sep 12
1,088
±2.9%
46.0% 47.0% R+1.0
AmGreatness/TIPP
RV
Sep 5
Sep 3 - Sep 5
1,015
±3.2%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
InsiderAdvantage
LV
Aug 30
Aug 29 - Aug 30
800
±3.0%
48.0% 49.0% R+1.0
CNN*
LV
Aug 29
Aug 23 - Aug 29
682
±4.7%
44.0% 49.0% R+5.0
The Hill/Emerson
LV
Aug 28
Aug 25 - Aug 28
720
±3.6%
47.0% 50.0% R+3.0
Bloomberg
RV
Aug 27
Aug 23 - Aug 27
805
±3.0%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
FOX News
RV
Aug 26
Aug 23 - Aug 26
1,014
±3.0%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Aug 17
Aug 13 - Aug 17
1,187
±3.0%
45.0% 47.0% R+2.0
Noble Predictive Insights
RV
Aug 16
Aug 12 - Aug 16
1,003
±3.1%
44.0% 47.0% R+3.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Aug 15
Aug 8 - Aug 15
677
±4.4%
50.0% 45.0% D+5.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
LV
Aug 8
Aug 6 - Aug 8
1,000
±2.9%
47.0% 48.0% R+1.0
Cook Political Report
LV
Aug 2
Jul 26 - Aug 2
435 48.0% 46.0% D+2.0
PPP (D)
LV
Jul 30
Jul 29 - Jul 30
618
±3.9%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
Bloomberg
RV
Jul 28
Jul 24 - Jul 28
804
±3.0%
49.0% 47.0% D+2.0
The Hill/Emerson
RV
Jul 23
Jul 22 - Jul 23
800
±3.4%
44.0% 49.0% R+5.0
InsiderAdvantage
LV
Jul 16
Jul 15 - Jul 16
800
±3.5%
42.0% 48.0% R+6.0
PPP (D)
RV
Jul 11
Jul 10 - Jul 11
596 44.0% 52.0% R+8.0
The Hill/Emerson
RV
Feb 19
Feb 16 - Feb 19
1,000
±3.0%
40.0% 48.0% R+8.0

About This Data

Poll averages are calculated using the most recent 10 days of polling data. All polls are weighted equally in the average. Ratings are assigned based on the polling margin between the two major party candidates.